312 PART 6 Analyzing Survival Data
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» The intervals are often the same size for all the rows in a life table like in the
example, but they don’t have to be. You may choose these on the basis of the
probabilities in your data.»
» The hazard rate obtained from a life table for each time slice is equal to the
Probability of Dying (Column F) divided by the width of the slice. Therefore,
the hazard rate for the first year would be expressed as 0.105 per year, or
10.5 percent per year.»
» The Cumulative Survival probability, in Column H, is the probability of surviving
from the start date through to the end of the interval. It has no units, and it
can be expressed as a fraction or as a percentage. The value for any time slice
applies to the moment in time at the end of the interval.»
» The cumulative survival probability is always 1.0 (or 100 percent) at time 0,
whenever you designate that time 0 is (in the example, date of surgery), but
it’s not included in the table.»
» The cumulative survival function decreases only at the end of an interval that
has at least one observed death, because censored observations don’t cause
a decrease in the estimated survival. Censored observations however
influence the size of the decreases when subsequent events occur. This is
because censoring reduces the number at risk, which is used in the denomi-
nator in the calculation of the death and survival probabilities.»
» If an interval contains no events and no censoring, like in the 1–2 years row in
the table in Figure 21-4, it has no impact on the calculations. Notice how all
subsequent values for Column B and for Columns E through H would remain
identical if that row were removed.
Graphing hazard rates and survival
probabilities from a life table
Graphs of hazard rates and cumulative survival probabilities (Columns F and H
from Figure 21-4, respectively) can be prepared from life-table results using
Microsoft Excel or another spreadsheet or statistical program with graphing
capabilities. Figure 21-5 illustrates the way these results are typically presented.»
» Figure 21-5a is a graph of hazard rates. Hazard rates are often graphed as
bar charts, because each time slice has its own hazard rate in a life table.»
» Figure 21-5b is a graph of cumulative survival probabilities, also known as
the survival function. Survival values are usually graphed as stepped line charts,